How Lunar New Year Will Effect The Market
How It Works
The Chinese Lunar New Year is a rotating holiday. In 2017, the event took place on Saturday, January 28th. EA celebrated this holiday by offering half-price packs for the FIFA community, and you can see how these promotions effected the market in the graphs below.
This year, Lunar New Year is set for Friday, February 16th. It is highly likely that EA will release discounted packs once again and that player prices, particularly gold cards, will take a heavy hit.
My Advice
1. While only gold cards and TOTW 22 players will be packable, I suggest everyone sell of their expensive players before next Friday. I think the hit that base cards/TOTW 22 players will take will have a “trickle down” effect which will drive down prices of other informs and special cards as well.
2. This event could serve as a great investing opportunity, particularly for TOTW 22 players. With so many packs being opened, their prices could drive down to absurdly low prices. I will post my “Investment Watch” players from TOTW 22 when it is released on Wednesday.
3. If you have been waiting to build your “dream team”, this is your chance. There will be tons of opportunities to get the players you need for cheap via bid or snipe. Personally, I’ll be looking to put together this squad next weekend.
Cheers,
Chief
Chief, i saw your graphs but im really enjoying playing with my team, but honestly the only expensive player i have in my team are SiF Lozano=55k and Vidal=110k, should i sell them off and buy on 16?
If you really like your team, don’t worry about. SIF Lozano shouldn’t go down too much since he is such an OP, high demand player. Vidal will take a hit, but it won’t crush your budget.
hi chief, i have Son if st card. would you recommend i sell him and buy him back?
Yes. Try to sell him throughout the week a bit above his normal price. Then, try to buy him back next weekend. I’m guessing prices will bottom out around Sunday.
Hey chief, what’s you prediction for POTM? Aguero scored 4 goals today, so i’m really positive that will be him. Do you recommend investing players now for his SBC or wait a couple days?
Technically, his performance today doesn’t count for January POTM. However, I do think it helps his chances for winning.
As for investing, I’d say wait a few hours. I think his performance has caused a lot of investing hype. I would try to bid or snipe them later tonight or tomorrow. I’d say your last opportunity for investment is during SB rewards tomorrow.
I already invested 400k for the Aguero SBC, what should i do to take the most advantage of the Lunar New Year? Because I don’t even know when the POTM will be realeased. Also should I sell all my club befor Lunar NY? If so, when?
And thanks for the help
I kind of answered all of these questions already in the post, but I’ll reiterate.
POTM comes out next week Friday, February 16th. So does Lunar New Year. Players from TOTW 22 will be the best investment options. I’ll make a post referencing who when it is announced on Wednesday.
All of your club? Probably not necessary. Definitely sell off expensive gold cards worth more than 10,000 coins unless you are willing to take the loss. There’s no magic time to sell, just list consistently throughout the week and you should be able to sell for a good price.
hey cheif, i recently bought 85 crespo for 470k. He is now 440k and i was wondering if i should sell him now and buy him even cheaper or just keep him because i have alreaady taken a loss.
Icons will be packed quite a bit next weekend, and I think their prices will go down as a whole, Crespo included. Try to list him constantly throughout the week so you can try to get as many of your coins back as possible, but make sure you offload him before next Friday.
I had recently purchased de bruyne again for 155k, should i sell him asap or when should i ?
I wouldn’t say ASAP, but definitely try to get rid of him before Friday and look to buy back during lightning rounds over the weekend either by bid or snipe. You should be able to get him back for a good deal.
Will the informs get hit too?? I have ifs like pjanic, insigne, handanovic, benatia… and scream cuadrado. Do you recommend to sell it and rebuy on sunday 18th?? If yea, when shall sell?
If you plan on changing your team any time soon, I’d definitely sell before Friday. If you plan on keeping that team for a few months, then I’d say it’s not as big of a deal. Cards that will be packed (gold cards, TOTW 22, Icons) are the ones that will take the major hit.
Thanks… so i will sell just dybala non in form, and rebuy it later =)
I’m also looking to complete POTM aguero, i packed him unreadable 91 version, what cards should i look to buy to complete his sbc?
It’s impossible to guess exactly what the requirements will be, but you can try to cover as many bases as possible. Here are some options that I think are likely:
1. Past Club (Indepeniente and Atletico) Players
2. High Rated/Inform Manchester City Players
3. High Rated/Inform Argentina Players
4. High Rated/Inform BPL Players
5. Sergio Aguero’s Gold Card
Hey,i just bought vidal alaba boatang and de gea should i keep or sell i will be making 20k loss in tax if i sell now will the loss be more when lunar new year packs come out ?
Yes, they will go down more when Lunar New Year packs come out.
Hi mate, I would ask you about Lunar New Year.
One important Youtuber in Spain say maybe we dont have ant offer in packs, becouse, last year he says all people descovered a glitch with the divisions and all winned a tons of coins, and the strategy the EA was that promotional packs to destroy the coins of the glitch.
What do you think about that mate? Im confused and i dont know what i do with my cards.
I’m familiar with the glitch from last year, but I believe half price packs for Lunar New Year were a thing even before FIFA ’17.
Many thanks mate, then what do you think would be the best time to sell my Gold base cards?
There’s not a “best time”. List consistently throughout the week for a little over their cheapest BIN and you should be able to get a good sale.
How much do you think SIF Otamendi will be during Lunar New Year? Hoping for around 20k so I can purchase him for my BPL squad for around 60-70k. Do you think his price drop down by 10k, 20k, 25k by chance? Thanks
It all depends on Aguero’s POTM requirements. If he is required, then his price will rise. If he isn’t, his price will plummet.
Should i buy totw players that may be upgraded in winter upgrade?
I’ve been looking at who has/hasn’t inflated, and I think 2IF Guedes is probably the best shout. He is due for a big upgrade, and his 83 will get boosted to an 84 no matter what. Also, because he is so cheap I think he will have a better return on investment. I’ve been grabbing him for 25k or less (on Xbox).
I have a lot of informs which are expecting a ratings upgrad. If these players receive the upgrades as predicted what would that mean for there prices? I know on the whole players will be dropping due to the lunar event. Just wondering if the players who get upgraded will Alison drop in price.
It depends how big their upgrade is, and how much it effects the informs. It’s difficult to predict the exact numbers that EA will increase.
Upgraded players’ informs (Kane, Salah, Bailey, etc.) should hold their value during the LNY event.
Like I recommend with most events/investments, I would advise that you sell in they hype with the upgrades, meaning sell a day or two before the upgrade is announced. I believe many of the upgrade informs will actually decrease in price when they are announced because of overinvesting. This has been a common theme in FIFA ’18.