TOTY will be coming Friday at 6pm. Whereas in the past TOTY was released on a Monday in waves of attackers, midfielders, and defenders, this year the schedule is different. Because of this, there is uncertainty over when the best time to buy a squad is.
When TOTY was released on Mondays in the past, that coincided with WL sell-off, and the buy time for most players was during that Sunday/Monday around when TOTY was released.
With TOTY being released on Friday in FIFA 21, the situation is a bit different. The market is higher on Fridays as people build their WL squads, so people aren’t sure whether they should buy squads before the market increases for WL (on Wednesday, January 20th) or after WL concludes as people sell their squads (on Sunday, January 24th).
My take is that buying on Wednesday, January 20th is the best option for 2 main reasons:
1. The promotion most similar to TOTY this year was Black Friday. The best time to buy a squad for that was on Wednesday, November 25th, two days before Black Friday on Friday, November 27th.
2. TOTY is extremely delayed this year, and people have had plenty of time to sell their teams and get liquid. I think the rebound will happen more quickly because of this in combination with the fact that people are growing impatient and eager to buy back their squads.
But there is a catch. TOTY provides excellent investment opportunities in the form of OOP golds (from TOTW 17 and TOTY) and informs (from TOTW 17). If you look to invest your coins rather than buy your squad, you can look at a 30%+ ROI in a week (selling next Thursday, January 28th).
Yes, you would have to pay extra for your squad buying at a later date, but the returns you get on your investments will more than cover the premiums you have to pay for your squads.
This leaves you with 2 options:
1. Buy your squad on Wednesday and forgo investing during TOTY.
2. Invest during TOTY, sell your investments on Thursday, January 28th, and buy your squad after that.
I understand many of you are tired of waiting to buy your teams, so hopefully this gives you some guidance on your decisions in the coming days.
Hi Chief, so for option 2 you mean to invest om Friday when the players are revealed and buy their regular golds? Are there already players u recommend?
Yes, I’ll be posting them after I see TOTW 17 tomorrow.
One other question: what do u think about investing in Nainggolan’s Inter card as he has transferred to Cagliari so his Inter card will not be in packs anymore?
He is a pretty good look if you can get him for 5.5k or less.
Thanks Chief. But is he worth it to invest in now, when probably the return will take a lot longer than investing in TOTY OOP?
Maybe diversify in both. I think he is a good look, too, considering his good club and rating. Inter players tend to do well.
Thank you for the great explanation 😀
Do you think we should sell our rare gold CB right after the SBC is released or wait a couple of days?
Probably wait a bit for supply to rinse (depending on how long the SBC lasts).
What kind of price do you expect rare gold Prem CBS to rise to during a prem SBC?
Maybe 2-2.5k. I can’t remember exactly what they went for during Black Friday – maybe somebody else here does?
As no SBC was released today do you expect an SBC to be released? In which case should we hold the gold rare CBS or get rid now?
They will release it later in the week – I don’t think EA ever releases it on the first day.
Awesome thank you buddy
Was that the SBC you was expecting tonight? I was expecting an SBC needing rare premierleague CB’s, should I still wait?
EA removed the league requirement. We will see if they add more SBCs that have specific league requirements at a later date. Hard to say for sure.
Ok buddy, I may hold them for a while then
Thank you very much for your input.
I have 2 M.
And I’m interested in some icons such as
mid Best and Mid Ferdinand, should I buy them tomorrow or invest all the coins and buy the team next week?
Also, what about fodder, I want to do some sbcs and need to buy high rated fodder. When is the best time to do so?
I would buy high rated fodder during pack openings this weekend. As for investing or buying your team, that is up to you. You can make more coins by investing than buying tomorrow.
Hello Chief! Would it be safe to assume that on Friday specifically, TOTW 17 players will overall be the cheapest compared to latest weeks? I am assuming that majority of ppl will not open their WL and DR packs until the toty players become available. Hence the supply will spike + additional supply from promo packs openings and liquidations. In this assumption, would investing in totw 17 actually be better as mid/long term vs. the standard one week flip?
Yes, I think Friday/Saturday will be their low point the same way that TOTW 9 was cheapest on Friday/Saturday for Black Friday. Keep an eye out for my favorite looks – I’ll probably be posting them on Thursday or early Friday.
Hey chief! When will fodder prices drop? I needed to complete the Aspas SBC but I am not sure when it will be cheapest to do so. Could you please help?
Given EA released the Icon SBC again yesterday and it’s repeatable, I wouldn’t anticipate prices to go down between now and TOTY. Probably need to buy fodder this weekend during TOTY pack openings.
I think we are all too late already. Sunday evening seemed to be the best time to buy though
My plan is to buy kessie renato and klostermann, all rttf for my team. Would you buy Them before or after?
I will still have 2 mil to invest if i buy Them today
I would buy today based on the rationale in this post. They should rise nicely over the next few weeks leading to their knockout stage matches.
I don’t see much downward movement, are we still hoping for something that resembles a crash later today?
Probably not if we haven’t seen anything by this point, to be honest.
That’s what I was thinking too. The problem with sharing accounts with my 11 year old son is that waiting is reeeeeaally hard :). Came home from work and he had bought IF Messi and prime Veron. At 850 and 590 I hope it’s not a big loss.
Saving the rest of the bank roll for TOTY trading, and hoping for the best….
tell your son to ask your opinion before buying expensive cards
It’s a bit my own fault, really. We were talking about hose two cards as hopefully good investments, and I told him there might be a crash today. He put two and two together like kids do.They were planned as “keepers” in the squad for fun. No big deal, that’s how it is to have kids :). The fun of having something in common with your kids outweighs any occasional hickups in the trading business. We still have coins to invest with during TOTY.
I’ve got baby eusebio and wondering if I should sell now to invest in fodder during Toty or to keep and stay inactive as I plan to use eusebio moving forward.
Basically, what do you think will happen to price of eusebio and is it relatively simple to make up the 250k transfer loss due to fifa fee for being able to invest 3.2m.
All the best,
I think you can make more coins selling and reinvesting in TOTW 17 players. Should be some good profit there.
When to sell neymar and mbappe? I want to invest with you during the tota
I would sell Friday so you can invest in TOTW 17 during TOTY pack openings on Friday/Saturday.
Should we buy around 6pm UK?
There is no specific time where all cards will be down across the board. Monitor the individual players you need and buy when they are dipping.
Do you think stocking up on regular lewandowski is a good investment strategy? He’ll surely get TOTY
Not overly interested in him. I think there are better investments to make.
Because he’s not meta?
Yes, and he hasn’t done much when going OOP in the past.
Hey Chief, seems like meta golds like mbappe already increased in price today… will they dip down again anytime soon? I was gonna buy my team today but everyone’s price rose
Don’t think so – I think the market will rise from now until Friday given there are no pack openings happening, and don’t think the meta cards will drop much come Friday.
What do you think about after Friday? Like Sunday or next week?
I don’t think the market will dip much after this weekend for high tier meta cards, to be honest.
Hi Chief, Is Alphonso Daivies a good investment since he will be OTP for toty nominee(if toty nominee cards are coming out)? And if so what would be a good price of getting him on Xbox?
Davies is pretty solid (he may or may not be in my TOTY investment list). 4k would be a good buy.
What price to buy him on ps4 for investing?
4k is also good for him.
When is the best time to buy the TOTW players for toty?
Likely on Saturday, but you should be able to get some snipes already on Friday during TOTY pack openings.
When will you be posting about which ones to buy?
Sometime before 6pm tomorrow for TOTY pack openings.
Okay. Will it be subscriber only post?
No – it will be public.
Hi Chief, you think Gold Walker will rice more ?got a bunch at 35K. Last year the price went up, two weeks after TOTY release
I think he will go down with pack openings tomorrow. I’d sell and take your profit on that one. Nice investment!
Oké thanks man!
Will en-nesyri keep going up or do I sell now for 14k?
I would just sell. TOTW cards are up a bit now from recent SBCs, and I think they could drop a bit with TOTY pack openings tomorrow.
Should we keep holding Hradecky’s or just take the loss and move on, i have 1 mill to invest for tommorow so i should be fine to hold
I would just sell. There will be much better opportunities for investment tomorrow during TOTY pack openings.